The Thanksgiving 2025 weather forecast is in, and if you’re traveling or hosting this year, you’ll want to pay attention. Thanksgiving week will bring a serious contrast across the country. From frosty mornings out west to mild and sunny afternoons down south, it’s shaping up to be a holiday full of weather surprises.
Planning for the holidays means more than just finalizing your menu. Whether you’re flying across the country or driving a few hours to see loved ones, knowing the Thanksgiving 2025 weather forecast can help you avoid delays, dress smart, and even plan that backyard dinner you’ve been dreaming about. In this post, we’ll break down the full forecast, region by region, and help you prepare for whatever Mother Nature has planned.
Thanksgiving 2025 Weather Outlook
As of late October 2025, the Thanksgiving 2025 weather is expected to be one of the most divided we’ve seen in years. While parts of the country gear up for snow, others will enjoy sunshine and pleasant breezes. Colder-than-average temperatures are expected in the West, Northeast, and parts of the Midwest, while the South and Southwest are likely to see warmer, dry conditions. If you’re traveling between regions, especially by car, prepare for a wide range of conditions. From snow boots to sunglasses, you might need both.
Thanksgiving 2025 Regional Weather Overview
| Region | Expected Conditions (Nov 23–30) | Travel Outlook |
| Northeast | Cold, windy, chance of snow in higher areas | Moderate – possible flight delays |
| Midwest | Cool with scattered rain or flurries | Mixed – watch for slick roads |
| West (PNW, Rockies) | Chilly, wet, mountain snow | Caution – slower road travel |
| South & Southeast | Mild, sunny, dry | Excellent – smooth travel |
| Southwest | Warm days, cool nights, mostly dry | Excellent – ideal for road trips |
Cold Fronts Up North, Cozy Sunshine Down South
For folks in the Northeast, Midwest, and West, Thanksgiving travel could come with a few challenges. Cold air and wet conditions are expected across the Pacific Northwest and Rocky Mountain regions, with some areas likely to see snow. In the Northeast, wind and possible flurries could lead to delays, especially for those flying in or out of major cities like Boston or New York.
Down south, though, it’s a very different story. The Thanksgiving 2025 weather in states like Georgia, Florida, and Texas is expected to be mild and sunny. These conditions are ideal for road trips, outdoor meals, and even a quick post-dinner walk without needing a jacket. If you’re looking for a stress-free Thanksgiving, the southern states might be your best bet.
Spotlight: The Southwest’s Slice of Sunshine
The real weather winner this Thanksgiving appears to be the Southwest. Areas like Arizona, New Mexico, West Texas, and southern Nevada are forecasted to have some of the most pleasant holiday weather in the country. Expect daytime highs in the mid-60s to low 70s, with cool, crisp evenings dipping into the 40s.
Data shows a warmer and drier trend for the region through the end of November. Whether you’re hiking, hosting an outdoor dinner, or simply looking for smooth travel, the Southwest is a top pick this year. The clear skies and comfortable temps make for a perfect long weekend escape.
Travelers’ Playbook: Planning Around the Patchwork
Thanksgiving is traditionally one of the busiest travel weeks in the United States, with an estimated 55 million people expected to travel this year. Given the Thanksgiving 2025 weather, the type of trip you’re planning matters more than ever. A drive from Denver to Dallas could start with frosty roads and end with sunny skies. And if you’re flying from cities like Seattle or Chicago, expect the possibility of weather-related delays.
The smartest move?
- Book early flights, especially if you’re passing through northern airports
- Leave room in your schedule for possible disruptions
- Monitor updated forecasts closely
- Use weather apps and set alerts
- Consider travel insurance if you’re making a long trip
Will It Snow on Thanksgiving Day?
If you’re dreaming of a white Thanksgiving, you’re not entirely out of luck but don’t expect a full-on winter storm. The Thanksgiving 2025 weather does suggest some snow is possible in the higher elevations of the Rockies, Great Lakes region, and northern New England. These will likely be light snow showers or flurries, not heavy enough to shut things down in most areas.
In metro cities, snowfall is expected to be minimal, though chilly temperatures and overcast skies could still be a factor. If you’re driving, keep an eye out for icy patches or slick roads. For those down south, however, it’s almost guaranteed to be a frost-free, sunny celebration.
Behind the Almanac: How They Predict It
You might be wondering how The Old Farmer’s Almanac makes its forecasts. The publication has been around since 1792 and uses a mix of solar cycles, historical weather patterns, and modern-day meteorological modeling to make predictions. While it claims around 80% accuracy, most experts recommend using it as a general guide rather than a specific forecast.
As the holiday gets closer, it’s a good idea to check local weather reports for more precise updates. Still, the Almanac’s long-range view is helpful for early planning, especially if you’re organizing travel, hosting guests, or figuring out if you’ll be deep-frying that turkey outdoors.
Thanksgiving Travel Tips
- Fly early in the week: Monday or Tuesday flights are less likely to be delayed by weather
- Check forecasts daily: Especially if you’re traveling through regions with changing conditions
- Dress for two climates: If you’re traveling between north and south, pack for both
- Have backup travel plans: A second route or flexible ticket could save your holiday
- Use real-time weather alerts: Apps like Weather Underground or NOAA updates can help you plan smart
Regions to Watch
- Northeast: Cold, possibly snowy expect some air travel delays
- Midwest: Mixed conditions rain or light snow, depending on the state
- West Coast and Rockies: Wet, chilly, and snowy in the mountains
- South and Southeast: Warm, dry, and excellent for road trips
- Southwest: The top pick for sunshine and smooth holiday travel
FAQs
Yes, especially in the southern and southwestern U.S. Northern regions may experience snow or rain-related delays.
Some snow is expected in high elevations and northern states, but major snowstorms are unlikely.
The Southwest, including Arizona and southern California, offers warm, dry conditions.
Seasonal patterns, jet streams, and elevation differences all play a role in shaping regional weather.
It’s a good long-range guide, but always double-check with up-to-date local forecasts before traveling.







